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Real Estate Marketing: How to Look Busy Without Accomplishing Anything

AvatarTo my mind, the darkest levels of hell resemble an office cubicle where there’s no actual work to be done. Instead, paper needs to be resorted from one stack to the next with no rhyme or reason in an effort to constantly look busy without completing any work.

Many of the traditional real estate marketing techniques are built under the same design template of how to look busy without accomplishing anything. Open houses, agent tours, special “broker” open houses, paper flyers - all do next to nothing to actually sell a home, but the expectation is we as agents will still do all of them so our sellers can see that we are “workin’ hard”, as my father-in-law would put it.

This morning I spent 15 minutes talking to a third-party relocation specialist who said a seller was concerned about the time it’s taking to sell his home - 19 days as of today - and that she feels multiple open houses will be the solution.

As I’ve said many, many times in the past, open houses largely are an effort in futility. First, you have to have a motivated buyer. Second, they need to be fully qualified to buy the home. Third, they have to be driving down the road at the moment the open house is taking place. Fourth, they have to take the time to follow the signs to see what home is for sale. Fifth, they have to decide this is the home for which they’ve been searching. Sixth, they have to make an offer on the home. Seventh, the offer has to be sufficiently strong that the seller would accept it or at least negotiate.

Throw out any one of those seven factors and there will not be a sale. And you have to have every one of those seven factors in order to get the house under contract. I’m not a statistician, but the odds seem remarkably long - easily long enough to bear out the NAR stats that less than 7 homes in 100 sell at an open house.

Internet marketing has negated the weekend open house. Buyers can scan hundreds of homes from the comfort of their own living room, selecting and eliminating homes from the photos and floorplans available on line. Only if a home survives the initial online cut will most buyers take the time to drive to the house to take a look. Store-bought cookies and maybe a bottled water aren’t incentive enough to drive in circles in hopes of the right home appearing.

When I mentioned that the primary visitors to open houses were the neighbors, the relo agent excitedly told me that’s the best source of buyers because neighbors will tell their friends that there’s a home for sale in their neighborhood. In reality, they’ll be telling their friends there are dozens of homes for sale in their neighborhood including seven of the exact same model. What’s one more?

Another suggestion made to me was the ubiquitous broker tour - a caravan of agents take a morning, usually at the urging of a title company, and view a series of homes in a given area over a three- or four-hour span.

Requirement number one to have the home on tour is to attend the tour. So already, the vast majority of agents on the tour are there not to search for homes for their buyers but to tout their own home. If you have eight agents, all with their own homes on tour and all intent solely on getting their house shown, what are the odds any one agent is going to be attentive enough to notice your home and also happen to have just the right buyer?

Since these tours work the same geographic areas, wouldn’t it stand to reason that if the listing agent had a buyer interested in homes in that area, their listing may no longer be for sale? And if their listing doesn’t meet their needs, is it more likely they’ll check the MLS to see what’s available or hope the perfect home happens to be on tour on any given day?

When hiring someone to sell your home, would you rather have someone spending their time looking busy without actually doing anything that would sell the home? Or would you rather they use the technological tools available - the Internet, single-property sites, 800 call-capture technology, e-mail house flyers - to provide more focused, more effective marketing?

Me too.

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Phoenix Real Estate Inventory through July 30, 2007

avatar.jpgThis week’s Phoenix Real Estate Market Inventory update …

Absorption rates for Maricopa County, which consists mostly of the Phoenix real estate market, climbed above the one-year mark as sales fell to February levels. Net inventory rose to just shy of 39,000 homes on the market, an increase of more than 10,000 single-family homes over the past five months.

Even Tempe, the one sellers’ market in the Valley, jumped into “neutral” territory as sales ironically have slowed in advance of Arizona State University going back into session.

One relocation company with which I’m working has suggested open houses and Realtor tours as the best way of selling a home in a hurry here in the Phoenix area. In truth, marketing can help in getting one home viewed rather than another if all other things are equal. But price is going to be the primary factor in determining whether a house sells.

CITY SOLD 6/30/07-7/30/07

ACTIVE 7/30

Absorption Rate

as of 7/30/07

Change Buyer/Seller
Ahwatukee 11 96 8.73 2.59 Buyer
Anthem 31 725 23.39 6.22 Buyer
Avondale 65 1,091 16.78 2.67 Buyer
Buckeye 46 1,053 22.89 2.55 Buyer
Carefree 2 97 48.50 24.00 Buyer
Cave Creek 54 562 10.41 0.85 Buyer
Chandler 248 2,376 9.58 1.52 Buyer
Desert Hills 11 182 16.55 -5.58 Buyer
El Mirage 29 490 16.90 3.17 Buyer
Fountain Hills 25 407 16.28 3.47 Buyer
Gilbert 224 2,628 11.73 2.37 Buyer
Glendale 197 2,425 12.31 0.75 Buyer
Goodyear 80 1,219 15.24 -0.31 Buyer
Laveen 32 526 16.44 3.51 Buyer
Litchfield Park 29 509 17.55 0.00 Buyer
Maricopa 69 996 14.43 1.14 Buyer
Mesa 312 3,407 10.92 1.34 Buyer
Paradise Valley 15 285 19.00 4.80 Buyer
Peoria 126 2,023 16.06 3.13 Buyer
Phoenix 769 9,707 12.62 1.65 Buyer
Queen Creek 115 2,061 17.92 2.28 Buyer
Scottsdale 267 3,379 12.66 1.48 Buyer
Sun City 50 482 9.64 2.50 Buyer
Sun City West 40 402 10.05 2.07 Buyer
Surprise 155 2,131 13.75 2.22 Buyer
Tempe 86 502 5.84 1.32 Neutral
Tolleson 17 470 27.65 6.37 Buyer
Waddell 6 122 20.33 4.33 Buyer
TOTAL 3,035 38,906 12.85 1.89 Buyer

Data provided by ARMLS. Data deemed reliable but not guaranteed

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Sleazy Lending Tricks - Agent/Lender Combo Category

AvatarOne of my escrows fell apart yesterday, not because the buyer of the home I have listed couldn’t qualify but rather because the person buying the buyer’s home couldn’t get their loan secured.

Multiple calls to the agent representing this one-off buyer and to the buyers’ lender led to the standard response - all is well, they’re qualified, they can close on time, nothing to worry about. Except there was.

It turns out the person purchasing the buyers’ home wasn’t buying the home for himself but for a friend. The plan was to buy the home, deed it to the friend and have the friend refinance the loan in their own name. The agent/lender combo (do I even have to add that this person worked at a 100% commission brokerage?) assured this buyer that this could be done without a problem.

Except … the buyer’s friend is an undocumented alien. The friend has no credit history because he has no ability to obtain credit. And without documentation, there’s no way he could qualify for a loan.

This isn’t a political debate about undocumented aliens (and if any comments try to take things that direction, I’ll likely issue a rare editorial veto.) Instead, it’s about the lies some lenders still are telling buyers in the interest of securing a paycheck.

The agent/lender had to know … HAD to know … that the buyers’ plan couldn’t work. Yet instead of telling the buyer the truth, the agent smiled and said “no problem.” It probably will surprise few to know this agent apparently has resigned their position with this real estate brokerage.

I’ve talked in the past of the lack of supervision with many 100% commission brokerages. Here’s the proof. And here are the victims:

A buyer about to get sucked into purchasing a home they didn’t want under the mistaken impression they could refinance the home away in six months.

A seller who purchases another home and finds out their sale can’t be completed only after they have moved out of their own home at their expense.

A second seller now looking at turning their home into a rental after losing a full month of marketing on a buyer contingency based on one-off falsehoods.

Neither the buyer nor seller in my transaction did anything wrong. Everything started with the one domino before and the agent/lender combo more interested in their own bank balance than the needs of the client (or current lending law, for that matter.)

Tighten lending standards as much as you want, but you’ll never find a way to squeeze the slime completely out of the market. For more on the joy of agent/lender combos, check out Jay’s recent screed.

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Helicopters’ Mid-Air Collision Dominates News

AvatarFifteen minutes before the start of a contract writing class I was teaching, news came in of the mid-air collision of the helicopters from KTVK-3 and KNXV-15 here in Phoenix. All four men aboard the two helicopters were lost.

Amazingly, no one on the ground was injured when the helicopters fell into Steele Indian School Park in downtown Phoenix.

Class went on as scheduled but, needless to say, real estate takes a back seat tonight. Coverage has been nearly non-stop on all of the local networks and on the radio.

Our thoughts and prayers go out to the families of the gentlemen lost as well as their extended families at each news station.

Back tomorrow …

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Dalton’s Arizona Homes Goes Green

AvatarIn truth, this is a environmentally-sensitive way of saying my days of printing flyers for my listings rapidly are coming to an end. Dalton’s Arizona Homes is going green, partially in the interest of environmental sanctity and partially in the interest of building a better marketing mouse trap.

We’ve discussed in this space the demise of print, generally meaning the newspaper industry. But in truth, the obsolescence of print extends far beyond the morning fish wrapper.

At least once a week I receive a call from a seller frantic because the flyer box in front of their home is empty. Sometimes I refill the box the next day, often I intentionally leave it empty for a day or two in hopes of someone calling for information off the sign.

Should I leave the box empty, I hear about the endless line of cars stopping directly in front of my sign looking wistfully for flyers before pulling away - without calling either of the two available phone numbers to find out more information - as if the only thing that stands between the sellers and a successful sale is the piece of paper (with the exact two same phone numbers printed upon it.)

Why it’s more likely for someone to pick up the phone and call a number printed on a piece of paper versus a large metal sign, I have no idea. But that’s been the perception of nearly all my sellers despite my explanation that anyone seriously interested in the home will pick up the phone.

No more. No more printing hundreds of flyers for the convenience of neighbors for their own listing presentations with other agents (it’s amazing how often I’walk into a listing appointment and am handed a stack of flyers to “help” me with my pricing suggestions.)

No more wasting time and gasoline with no tangible return. No more adding to the growing environmental crisis (a sincere thought, if slightly over the top.)

Instead, I’m moving into the realm of 800 call-capture technology. Century 21 Arizona Foothills currently is in a trial period with Freedom Voice and the early results have been encouraging. How early and how encouraging? I posted my first 24-hour information line rider last night. This morning I received my first phone call.

Coincidence? Probably. But that one call represents one more contact from a potential buyer than I received with more than 100 flyers at this house in Avondale. I can’t track the license plates of buyers who take one of my printed flyers, but I can record the phone numbers of everyone calling and listening to my dulcet tones.

And within the next day, for those who truly want to feel paper in their fingers, I’ll be adding the ability to request faxed listing sheets from the same phone number. Less faxes will be sent than flyers were printed, no doubt, but those inquiring almost certainly will be more serious about the home in question.

While 800 call-capture technology is nothing new to real estate, it definitely is something a little less traditional. But since so many of the traditional methods do more to appease sellers looking for the appearance of success than in actually selling homes, the time for less traditional methods is nigh.

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